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Dissociable effects of prediction and integration during language comprehension: Evidence from a large-scale study using brain potentials
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Dissociable effects of prediction and integration during language comprehension: evidence from a large-scale study using brain potentials
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In: Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci (2020)
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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Ito, Aine; Ferguson, Heather J.; Rueschmeyer, Shirley-Ann; Von Grebmer Zu Wolfsthurn, Sarah; Rousselet, Guillaume; Fu, Xiao; Kogan, Vita; Kulakova, Eugenia; Segaert, Katrien; Barr, Dale; Meziere, Diane; Tuomainen, Jyrki; Busch-Moreno, Simon; Politzer-Ahles, Stephen; Nieuwland, Mante; Kohut, Zdenko; Heyselaar, Evelien; Bartolozzi, Federica; Donaldson, David; Huettig, Falk; Husband, Matthew. - : eLife Sciences Publications, 2018
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Abstract:
Do people routinely pre-activate the meaning and even the phonological form of upcoming words? The most acclaimed evidence for phonological prediction comes from a 2005 Nature Neuroscience publication by DeLong, Urbach and Kutas, who observed a graded modulation of electrical brain potentials (N400) to nouns and preceding articles by the probability that people use a word to continue the sentence fragment (‘cloze’). In our direct replication study spanning 9 laboratories (N=334), pre-registered replication-analyses and exploratory Bayes factor analyses successfully replicated the noun-results but, crucially, not the article-results. Pre-registered single-trial analyses also yielded a statistically significant effect for the nouns but not the articles. Exploratory Bayesian single-trial analyses showed that the article-effect may be non-zero but is likely far smaller than originally reported and too small to observe without very large sample sizes. Our results do not support the view that readers routinely pre-activate the phonological form of predictable words.
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Keyword:
BF Psychology
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URL: https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.33468 https://kar.kent.ac.uk/66789/1/Nieuwland%20et%20al%20eLife.pdf https://kar.kent.ac.uk/66789/ https://kar.kent.ac.uk/66789/7/elife-33468-v2.pdf
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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