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Transdisciplinary Analysis of a Corpus of French Newsreels: The ANTRACT Project
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In: ISSN: 1938-4122 ; Digital Humanities Quarterly ; https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03166755 ; Digital Humanities Quarterly, Alliance of Digital Humanities, 2021, Special Issue on AudioVisual Data in DH, 15 (1) ; http://digitalhumanities.org/dhq/ (2021)
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| 2 |
WHAT YOU DO OR WHAT YOU SAY? AN EXAMINATION OF ANALYST REACTIONS TO PROTOTYPICAL AND NON-PROTOTYPICAL CEOS LINGUISTIC AND COMPETITIVE BEHAVIORS
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In: Theses and Dissertations--Management (2021)
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Tourism-related Climate Change Perspectives: Social Media Conversations about Canada’s Rocky Mountain National Parks
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In: TTRA Canada 2021 Conference (2021)
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| 4 |
Assessing Topical Homogeneity with Word Embedding and Distance Matrices
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In: School of Information Studies - Faculty Scholarship (2020)
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| 5 |
Cell Phone Ethnography: Mixed Methods and the Brand Consumer Relationship
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In: Masters Theses (2016)
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| 6 |
Improving Intelligence Analysis With Decision Science
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In: Management Papers (2015)
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Abstract:
Intelligence analysis plays a vital role in policy decision making. Key functions of intelligence analysis include accurately forecasting significant events, appropriately characterizing the uncertainties inherent in such forecasts, and effectively communicating those probabilistic forecasts to stakeholders. We review decision research on probabilistic forecasting and uncertainty communication, drawing attention to findings that could be used to reform intelligence processes and contribute to more effective intelligence oversight. We recommend that the intelligence community (IC) regularly and quantitatively monitor its forecasting accuracy to better understand how well it is achieving its functions. We also recommend that the IC use decision science to improve these functions (namely, forecasting and communication of intelligence estimates made under conditions of uncertainty). In the case of forecasting, decision research offers suggestions for improvement that involve interventions on data (e.g., transforming forecasts to debias them) and behavior (e.g., via selection, training, and effective team structuring). In the case of uncertainty communication, the literature suggests that current intelligence procedures, which emphasize the use of verbal probabilities, are ineffective. The IC should, therefore, leverage research that points to ways in which verbal probability use may be improved as well as exploring the use of numerical probabilities wherever feasible.
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Keyword:
decision science; forecasting; intelligence analysis; Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods; uncertainty
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URL: https://repository.upenn.edu/mgmt_papers/202
https://repository.upenn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1281&context=mgmt_papers
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| 7 |
Cross-Linguistic Validation of a Unidimensional Scale for Cosmopolitanism
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In: Mark Cleveland (2014)
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| 8 |
An Empirical Investigation of Student Evaluations of Instruction - The Relative Importance of Factors
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In: Managerial Sciences Faculty Publications (2012)
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| 9 |
Strategic Asymmetric Multicultural Alliances in Business
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In: All Antioch University Dissertations & Theses (2010)
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| 10 |
Translating Science into Practice: Developing a Decision Making Training Tool
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In: Elizabeth Lazzara (2010)
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| 11 |
Graduate Committee Minutes
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In: Graduate Committee Minutes (2010)
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| 12 |
The Influence of Leader Humor on Relationships between Leader Behavior and Follower Outcomes
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In: Management Department Faculty Publications (2009)
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| 13 |
An Analysis of Ecological and Social Rationality: When are Lexicographic Heuristics Preferred?
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In: Managerial Sciences Dissertations (2008)
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| 14 |
The trust experience from the truster's perspective: A theoretical discussion and experiment
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In: Social Science - Dissertations (2007)
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| 15 |
Use of Exemplar Surveys to Reveal Implicit Types of Intelligence
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In: Leadership Institute Faculty Publications (2002)
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| 16 |
A qualitative inquiry into the critical thinking process of hospitality management students
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In: Retrospective Theses and Dissertations (2001)
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| 17 |
Reentry: procedures and strategies necessary to achieve greater capitalization of human assets in international business repatriation
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In: Retrospective Theses and Dissertations (1992)
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| 18 |
Rational Data Base Standards: An Examination of the 1978 CODASYL DDLC Report
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In: Management Papers (1979)
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