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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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Nieuwland, Mante S; Politzer-Ahles, Stephen; Heyselaar, Evelien; Segaert, Katrien; Darley, Emily; Kazanina, Nina; Von Grebmer Zu Wolfsthurn, Sarah; Bartolozzi, Federica; Kogan, Vita; Ito, Aine; Mézière, Diane; Barr, Dale J; Rousselet, Guillaume A; Ferguson, Heather J; Busch-Moreno, Simon; Fu, Xiao; Tuomainen, Jyrki; Kulakova, Eugenia; Husband, E Matthew; Donaldson, David I; Kohút, Zdenko; Rueschemeyer, Shirley-Ann; Huettig, Falk. - : eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd, 2018
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Abstract:
Do people routinely pre-activate the meaning and even the phonological form of upcoming words? The most acclaimed evidence for phonological prediction comes from a 2005 Nature Neuroscience publication by DeLong, Urbach and Kutas, who observed a graded modulation of electrical brain potentials (N400) to nouns and preceding articles by the probability that people use a word to continue the sentence fragment (‘cloze’). In our direct replication study spanning 9 laboratories (N=334), pre-registered replication-analyses and exploratory Bayes factor analyses successfully replicated the noun-results but, crucially, not the article-results. Pre-registered single-trial analyses also yielded a statistically significant effect for the nouns but not the articles. Exploratory Bayesian single-trial analyses showed that the article-effect may be non-zero but is likely far smaller than originally reported and too small to observe without very large sample sizes. Our results do not support the view that readers routinely pre-activate the phonological form of predictable words.
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Keyword:
Neuroscience
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URL: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5896878/ https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.33468 http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29631695
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Large-scale replication study reveals a limit on probabilistic prediction in language comprehension
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How robust are effects of semantic and phonological prediction during language comprehension? A visual world eye-tracking study. ...
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Why the A/AN prediction effect may be hard to replicate: A rebuttal to DeLong, Urbach & Kutas (2017) ...
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Prediction during native and non-native language comprehension: the role of mediating factors
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Ito, Aine. - : The University of Edinburgh, 2016
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Looking at mouse when you predict "mouth" : Evidence for phonological prediction. ...
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